Dire Warning from World Bank

I cannot think of a more conservative organization than the world bank. With a forward written by the President of the bank, “Turn Down the Heat – Why a 4 degree world must be avoided” was released on 19th November.

The Report sets out the litany of indicators that prove we are heading for a hotter planet. The World Bank warns that we must stop using fossil fuels or disaster will be inevitable.

The science has got worse, it says, since 2009 when the world failed to achieve an international plan to do something about the problem at Copenhagen. The Report indicates that if the countries implement the promises they made in the Bali round that followed, we would have a very small chance of limiting the rise to 2 degrees – the pledge agreed on at the time.

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Report Released

At Woytopia, 28th Oct, Climate Future released its report on the Sea Level Rise Forum held recently in Woy Woy. The Report details the opinions of the community on what we should be doing to adapt to sea level rise and how they want our governments to behave.

CF-WoyWoy Report-V2-20120825

The community called for more consultation on government measures and more communication with the community affected.

The information from Laurie Ratz of the Insurance Council of Australia helped to dispel some of the myths around the increases in premiums being experienced by water front owners. ‘Shop around’ was the advice.

Besides the release of the Report, there were three other talks given at Woytopia: More>

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Sea Level Rise Seminar to be held at Woy Woy

Woy Woy and the wider Central Coast area is highly vulnerable to sea level rise due to the large number of waterfront properties and low-lying suburbs in the area.

The Woy Woy  peninsula itself is only 7m above sea level at its highest and is home to thousands of families. The impacts of a rising sea will be discussed at the seminar. Also a representative of the insurance industry will be presenting on what insurance companies are doing about the issue.

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How settled is the science

Trying to look at the degree of consensus on the science of climate change caused a visit to Google Scholar. Anyone can use this search engine to search for scientific articles and papers. Of course, it takes a lot of work to read all the latest papers and search out the amount of agreement. In any case the weight one gives a particular paper will be to some degree subjective as it depends on the understanding you already have and a personal assessment of the quality of the work.

A very simple way to look at the development of climate science is just to count the number of papers returned under the search used.

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Large Rise in Sea Level more likely than ever

A recent paper and a sudden melting of the Greenland ice sheet bring the expectation of high levels of rising seas even closer (if it wasn’t enough so far).

The paper is ‘Deglacial rapid sea level rises caused by ice sheet saddle collapses’ by Gregoire, Payne and Valdes published in Nature (from Bristol University).

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Coal and Climate Change

Buring of fossil fuels, such as coal, is forcing our atmosphere to trap more heat. The heat escaping into space is less than the energy that comes in from the sun. Measurements of the trends are very clear, we are ruining this planet for the next 50 generations.

So far we have put more than 500 billion tonnes of CO2 into our atmosphere. A lot of this has been absorbed into our water, causing an increase in acidity in our oceans that threatens sea life. The remainder has built up in our atmosphere and raised the CO2 concentration from 280 ppm to 390 ppm (40%). At the current rate we will be at 410 ppm by 2020.

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Barriers to Adaptation

The Federal independant body, The Productivity Commission has prepared a study on the “Barriers to Effective Climate Change Adaptation”. They called for comment and held public meetings recently to collect responses on the report.

Climate Future attended and presented comment (see attached).

20120705-Prod-Com-Comts

It was disapointing to see that for a whole day available to hear comments on the draft report, all presenters were finished by 1pm. Those present amounted to a couple of reporters and a handfull of interested people. For a subject that is already impacting thousands around the world and likely to touch on all of us at some point, there appeared very little interest.

Whatever happened to…

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